More stimulus is on the way - What does it mean for the market?

Stocks closed lower on Friday as President Elect Biden released plans for a $1.9 trillion dollar COVID-19 relief package. On Friday, tech shares gained while banks led the decline of financial stocks after some of the largest players released less than stellar earnings reports. This short-term selloff goes against the long upward trend for stocks. The S&P 500 hit a record high during the first week of the year, only to fade slightly last week. Energy stocks led the market last week as oil prices reached levels not seen since February 2020. Investors will look for guidance from the new administration and Congress as the shifting political landscape has businesses changing strategies while the economy has yet to pick back up from last year. While retail sales fell in December, production increased more than expected. The increase marked eight straight months of gains and could be a bright spot for a battered economic recovery. In a shift from mega retailers, e-commerce retailer Etsy was the top performing stock in the S&P 500 last week. The company was touted by analysts after strong data pointing to increased sales has investors looking to the company’s earnings release next month. General Motors was also a top performer last week after the company announced a new electric Corvette SUV to compete with Ford. Looking ahead this week, the world will be focused on Wednesday’s inauguration and the following days as the new administration begins its first 100 days with ambitious plans to fight the virus and support the economy.

The announced $1.9 trillion stimulus package seemed to be less than what was being anticipated by markets as equities were weak, gold little changed, and bond yields only making small gains. For the week, oil prices continued to rise on the back of the January 5th surprise OPEC cut and the generally weak dollar. Mid-week news included Wednesday’s Consumer Price Index data which registered a 0.4% increase for December as energy prices rose 4.0%. Last Friday was littered with economic reports. Industrial Production was found increasing for December and easily beat consensus expectations of 0.5% with a 1.6% gain. This was the third consecutive month of rising industrial production and utilities led the way with a 6.3% increase as December temperatures fell increasing heating demand. Producer Prices (the PPI) rose 0.3% on the back of a 5.5% increase in energy prices. Goods and services also had small increases. Producer prices excluding food and energy were up 1.2% this past year. The Friday Retail Sales report disappointed with a 0.7% December decline. The decline is attributed to the decline in stimulus as the latest round of stimulus checks were not sent until the end of the month.
Source: First Trust


Chart reflects price changes, not total return. Because it does not include dividends or splits, it should not be used to benchmark performance of specific investments. Data provided by FactSet.

Sincerely,

Fortem Financial
(760) 206-8500
team@fortemfin.com

 


 

Latest News

 

What's on Biden's Business and Economic To-Do List

Higher corporate tax rates, clean-energy initiatives and more will likely have to wait for Covid-19 stimulus.

Wall Street Journal
Jan 18, 2021

Read Story

 

Biden stimulus

Unemployment, wages?

USA Today
Jan 19, 2021

Read Story

 

Biden plans 'dozens' of executive actions in first days

As president, Joe Biden will use the power of his pen to transform U.S. policy through dozens of executive orders, presidential memoranda and other official directives.

ABC News
Jan 19, 2021

Read Story

 


Brian Amidei, along with Partners Joseph Romano and Brett D'Orlando have also been named *2014, 2015, 2016, 2017, 2018 Five Star Wealth Managers!

Disclosures:
Awards and recognitions by unaffiliated rating services, companies, and/or publications should not be construed by a client or prospective client as a guarantee that he/she will experience a certain level of results if Fortem is engaged, or continues to be engaged, to provide investment advisory services; nor should they be construed as a current or past endorsement of Fortem or its representatives by any of its clients. Rankings published by magazines and others are generally based on information prepared and/or submitted by the recognized advisor. Awards may not be indicative of one client’s experience or of the Firm’s future performance. Neither Fortem nor the recognized advisor has paid a fee for inclusion on a list, nor purchased any additional material from the award provider. The criteria for each award is listed below:

Five Star Professional Disclosure:
The Five Star Wealth Manager award is based on 10 eligibility and evaluation criteria: 1) Credentialed as an investment advisory representative (IAR) or a registered investment advisor; 2) Actively employed as a credentialed professional in the financial services industry for a minimum of five years; 3) Favorable regulatory and complaint history review; 4) Fulfilled their firm review based on internal firm standards; 5) Accepting new clients; 6) One-year client retention rate; 7) Five-year client retention rate; 8) Non-institutionalized discretionary and/or non-discretionary client assets administered; 9) Number of client households served; and 10) Educational and professional designations. The inclusion of a wealth manager on the Five Star Wealth Manager list should not be construed as an endorsement of the wealth manager by Five Star Professional or the magazine. The award methodology does not evaluate the quality of services provided. Additional information about this award is available at: fivestarprofessional.com/2016FiveStarWealthManagerMethodology.pdf
Fortem Financial 2016. All rights reserved.

Data Sources: News items are based on reports from multiple commonly available international news sources (i.e. wire services) and are independently verified when necessary with secondary sources such as government agencies, corporate press releases, or trade organizations. Market Data: Based on reported data in WSJ Market Data Center (indexes); U.S. Treasury (Treasury Yields); U.S. Energy Information Administration/Bloomberg.com Market Data (oil spot price, WTI Cushing, OK); www.goldprice.org (spot gold/silver); Oanda/FX Street (currency exchange rates). All information is based on sources deemed reliable, but no warranty or guarantee is made as to its accuracy or completeness.

Neither the information nor any opinion expressed herein constitutes a solicitation for the purchase or sale of any securities, and should not be relied on as financial advice. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author, and do not represent those of Fortem Financial, LLC or any of its affiliates. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. All investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal, and there can be no guarantee that any investing strategy will be successful. Forward looking statements are based on current expectations and assumptions, the economy, and future conditions. As such, forward-looking statements are subject to inherent uncertainty, risks, and changes in circumstance that are difficult to predict. Actual results may differ materially from the anticipated outcomes. Carefully consider investment objectives, risk factors and charges and expenses before investing. Fortem Financial is a registered investment adviser with the SEC. Advisory services are offered through Fortem Financial.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) is a price-weighted index composed of 30 widely traded blue-chip U.S. common stocks. The S&P 500 is a market-cap weighted index composed of the common stocks of 500 leading companies in leading industries of the U.S. economy. The NASDAQ Composite Index is a market-value weighted index of all common stocks listed on the NASDAQ stock exchange. The Russell 2000 is a market-cap weighed index composed of 2,000 U.S. small-cap common stocks. The Global Dow is an equally weighted index of 150 widely traded blue-chip common stocks worldwide. Market indices listed are unmanaged and are not available for direct investment.

Fortem Financial

Recent Posts