Treasury Yields dropped slightly over the course of the week on increased Covid-19 worries. On Monday, a reported more transmissible mutation of the novel coronavirus in the United Kingdom led to further lockdowns in the country and concerns across the world that the pandemic would worsen. Governments across Europe were closing travel from the U.K. due to the new strain, but France did say they would open their borders for those who have tested negative. However, experts still believe that the v… View More
December 2020
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There is plenty of weaker global news, including a new lockdown in London this weekend. A package of weaker economic data looks to have finally broken the stalemate on U.S. fiscal policy. Additional stimulus from D.C. appears imminent, sizeable, and front-end loaded for 2021. We’ve revised up our near-term U.S. real GDP estimate, including moving 1Q into positive territory (+3.0% q/q A.R.), and continue to look for an economic surge by mid-2021. The “19” in COVID-19 stands for 2019, markin… View More
Nobody thought is was possible, but Vaccines have shipped in the US and the end of the Virus is nearing
What would normally take years to develop, research, test, manufacture, and deliver has been condensed into just months. Through Operation Warp Speed, our country has delivered to the world a Christmas gift that will be hard to beat for many years to come. Through a historic partnership between the public and private sector, our medical professionals, President Trump, and his Corona Virus task force have done the impossible in delivering lifesaving vaccines at unprecedented speed. It estimated … View More
The economic concept of “no free lunch” revolves around the idea that there are often limits when making proper decisions. In the healthcare space, we could say 2020 was a no-free-lunch year with COVID-19: if the virus is not controlled, economic activity that surprises to the upside will be followed by unacceptable (non-linear) virus spread, meaning consequent data must surprise to the downside (lockdowns take place). Europe has lived this experience during the last month. The U.S. payroll … View More
As the end of the year and the holiday season approaches, we will all see an uptick in the number of charitable solicitations arriving in our mailboxes and by email. Since some charities sell their contributor lists to other charities, frequent contributors may find themselves besieged by requests from all sorts of charities with which they are not familiar. Watch Out for Charity Scams - You need to be careful, as scammers out there are pretending to be legitimate charities looking to take adva… View More